LatAm FORECASTED TO CONTRACT 0.3% THIS YEAR AND 0.7% GROWTH IN 2016
The United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America, ECLAC, forecasted a downward trend in the region’s
economic activity for 2015 to -0.3% from 0.5%, and estimates that for
2016 growth will be close to 0.7%.
Among the main factors behind the growth drop are a weak domestic
demand; a global environment marked by a low growth of the developed
world; an important deceleration in emerging economies, especially
China; the strengthening of the dollar and a growing volatility in
financial markets; and an important fall in primary goods prices, ECLAC
said.
Despite the regional trend towards a deceleration, the region’s economies will show differentiated dynamics. Growth projections indicate that South American economies -specialized in the production of primary goods, especially oil and minerals- and with a growing level of trade integration with China, will register the biggest deceleration. Those economies are expected to experience contractions of about -1.3% in 2015 and of -0.1 in 2016.
Meanwhile, those economies with greater ties with the United States economy will be able to sustain their rhythm of growth: Mexico and Central America will grow 2.6% in 2015 and 2.9% in 2016, while the Caribbean economies could grow around 1.6% in 2015 and 1.8% in 2016.
In order to face the economic activity deceleration it is imperative to revert the drop of the investment rate and the lower contribution of the gross capital formation affecting growth since it not only impacts the economic cycle but also the capacity and quality of medium- and long-term growth, ECLAC warned.
Energizing investments is a fundamental task to change the current deceleration phase as well as to achieve a path of sustained and sustainable growth in the long term, the organization concluded.
Despite the regional trend towards a deceleration, the region’s economies will show differentiated dynamics. Growth projections indicate that South American economies -specialized in the production of primary goods, especially oil and minerals- and with a growing level of trade integration with China, will register the biggest deceleration. Those economies are expected to experience contractions of about -1.3% in 2015 and of -0.1 in 2016.
Meanwhile, those economies with greater ties with the United States economy will be able to sustain their rhythm of growth: Mexico and Central America will grow 2.6% in 2015 and 2.9% in 2016, while the Caribbean economies could grow around 1.6% in 2015 and 1.8% in 2016.
In order to face the economic activity deceleration it is imperative to revert the drop of the investment rate and the lower contribution of the gross capital formation affecting growth since it not only impacts the economic cycle but also the capacity and quality of medium- and long-term growth, ECLAC warned.
Energizing investments is a fundamental task to change the current deceleration phase as well as to achieve a path of sustained and sustainable growth in the long term, the organization concluded.
Source: MercoPress
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.·. Miguel Ángel MEDINA CASABELLA, MSM, MBA, SMHS .·.
Especialista en Management Estratégico, Gestión del Cambio e Inversiones
Especialista en Management Estratégico, Gestión del Cambio e Inversiones
Representante de The George Washington University en Foros y Ferias de LatAm desde 2001
Representante de The George Washington University Medical Center para los Países de LatAm desde 1996
Ex
Director Académico y Profesor de Gestión del Cambio del HSML Program
para LatAm en GWU School of Medicine & Health Sciences (Washington
DC)
CEO, MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS GROUP LatAm
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CEO, MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS GROUP LatAm
EMail: medinacasabella@gmail.com
TE Oficina: ( 0054) 11 - 3532 - 0510
TE Móvil (Local): ( 011 ) 15 - 4420 - 5103
TE Móvil (Int´l): ( 0054) 911 - 4420 - 5103
Skype: medinacasabella
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MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS GROUP LatAm ©
(medinacasabella@gmail.com; +5411-3532-0510)
es una Consultora Interdisciplinaria cuya Misión es proveer
soluciones integrales, eficientes y operativas en todas las áreas vinculadas a:
Estrategias Multiculturales y Transculturales, Organizacionales y Competitivas,
Management Estratégico,
Gestión del Cambio,
Marketing Estratégico,
Inversiones,
Gestión Educativa,
Capacitación
de Latino América (LatAm), para los Sectores:
Gestión del Cambio,
Marketing Estratégico,
Inversiones,
Gestión Educativa,
Capacitación
de Latino América (LatAm), para los Sectores:
a) Salud, Farma y Biotech,
b) Industria y Servicios,
c) Universidades y Centros de Capacitación,
d) Gobierno y ONGs.
b) Industria y Servicios,
c) Universidades y Centros de Capacitación,
d) Gobierno y ONGs.
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